Libya's potential goes unrealised
Disappointing results in its bidding round are a reality check for Libya, and global exploration generally
Libya’s first exploration auction for 18 years has ended not with a bang but with a whimper, with most blocks unclaimed. Just five of 22 exploration sites have been taken up by IOCs, amid questions over political stability and poor potential. The result has dented Libya’s ambition of raising oil production from 1.4m b/d to 2m b/d by 2028. Libya announced the auction last year in a blaze of publicity, holding roadshows around the world. But as the process wore on, enthusiasm waned and the round came to resemble a matryoshka doll, with each stage smaller than the last. The London end of the roadshow was a standing-room-only event in a hotel conference hall, with the top brass of Libya’s Nation
Also in this section
22 April 2026
The failure of OMV Petrom’s keenly watched exploration campaign at Bulgaria’s Han Asparuh block highlights the Black Sea’s uneven track record, despite major successes like Neptun Deep and Sakarya
22 April 2026
Sustained strikes on ports, terminals and refineries are testing the resilience of Russia’s oil export system, yet rapid repairs, rerouting and surging prices mean the campaign has yet to deliver a decisive blow
21 April 2026
After overcoming a COVID-induced demand collapse with several years of successful market management, geopolitical events have conspired to provide the pact’s biggest test to date
21 April 2026
The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security






