DNV cuts North America hydrogen forecasts by 30%
Growth outlook hit by recent policy changes in pivotal year for the region’s hydrogen industry, says risk management firm DNV
Risk management firm DNV has cut its 2050 forecast for North American hydrogen production by 30%, in a major downgrade for the industry’s growth prospects in the wake of recent federal policy changes. It has also lowered its demand-side forecast for the region, projecting that hydrogen will account for 3% of energy demand in 2050, down from 5% previously. “Hydrogen production and demand show a decline in North America, with 2025 marking a pivotal year due to policy changes introduced by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act [OBBBA],” DNV said in its latest Energy Transition Outlook North America. The OBBBA scaled back support for hydrogen. The 45V production tax credit, introduced under the Inflati
Also in this section
4 February 2026
Europe’s largest electrolyser manufacturers are losing patience with policymakers as sluggish growth in the green hydrogen sector undermines their decision to expand production capacity
2 February 2026
As a fertiliser feedstock, it is indispensable, but ammonia’s potential as a carbon-free energy carrier is also making it central to global decarbonisation strategies
28 January 2026
The development of hydrogen’s distribution system must speed up if the industry is to stand any chance of grabbing a meaningful slice of the low-carbon energy market
14 January 2026
Continent’s governments must seize the green hydrogen opportunity by refining policies and ramping up the development of supply chains and infrastructure






