The different demand scenarios are the results of varying levels of policy action being modelled
Hydrogen demand models vary widely
Collation of 14 different scenarios by World Energy Council shows uncertainty over sector’s growth
Global hydrogen demand scenarios from different organisations vary greatly, with the lowest modelling showing 77mn t/yr of demand by 2030 and the highest showing 212mn t/yr by the same year. Current global hydrogen demand is a little over 75mn t/yr. The varying scenarios are the results of different levels of policy action being modelled, with the least ambitious being consultancy’s Acil Allen’s ‘low scenario’ and the most ambitious being the IEA’s ‘net zero scenario’. The Acil Allen ‘low scenario’ sees the world missing the goals of the Paris Agreement, with a 50pc chance of limiting the peak in global temperatures to between 2°C and 4°C. The IEA’s net-zero scenario sees a 50pc chance of li
Also in this section
25 July 2025
Oil major cites strategy reset as it walks away from Australian Renewable Energy Hub, leaving partner InterContinental Energy to lead one of world’s largest green hydrogen projects
23 July 2025
Electrolysis seen as most leakage-prone production pathway as study warns of sharp increase through 2030 and beyond
22 July 2025
The gas-hungry sector is set for rapid growth, and oil majors and some of the world’s largest LNG firms are investing in ammonia production and export facilities, though much depends on regulatory support
16 July 2025
Major manufacturer cancels rollout of new hydrogen-powered vans and strengthens focus on battery electric and hybrid markets
