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Peter Ramsay
25 August 2022
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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China holds the key for European winter LNG

Demand in the East Asian powerhouse is the major variable for pace of deliveries into the Russian gas-starved continent

“The big lifesaver for Europe has been the considerable drop in Chinese LNG demand, driven by high spot prices, renewed Covid lockdowns—which have hit economic activity—and a focus on maximising cheaper alternative sources of gas supply, including domestic production and pipeline imports.” So says Laura Page, LNG analyst at cargo tracking firm Kpler. But the key question as Europe faces winter demand with huge uncertainty over how much Russian gas will flow is whether any increase in China’s requirements will crimp availability for its existing and new terminals. “It has been surprising how much LNG has come to Europe so far this year [see Fig.1], considering how tight the market balance was

Also in this section
Canada enters the global LNG race
30 July 2025
Owing to social, political and geographical factors, Canadian LNG projects are a complex proposition versus competing facilities on the US Gulf of Mexico.
India’s Nayara fallout
29 July 2025
The EU’s Russia sanctions could have far-reaching implications for India’s Vadinar-based refinery
Power of Siberia 2: deal or no deal?
29 July 2025
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns over over-dependency on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely that a contract will be finalised this year.
An end to EU green illusions
29 July 2025
EU industry and politicians are pushing back against the bloc’s green agenda. Meanwhile, Brussels’ transatlantic trade deal with Washington could consolidate US energy dominance.

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