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Trump’s Russia threat rings hollow
The reaction to proposed sanctions on Russian oil buyers has been muted, suggesting trader fatigue with Trump’s frequent bold and erratic threats
US oil sector faces complicated path
Trump energy policies and changing consumer trends to upend oil supply and demand
California refiners dreaming of heyday
US downstream sector in key state feels the pain of high costs, an environmental squeeze and the effects of broader market trends
Mars attacks US oil industry
Crude quality issues are an often understated risk to energy security, highlighted by problems at a key US refinery
Letter from Austria: OPEC delivers wake-up call
A brutally honest picture about the potential role of oil and gas in 2050 should prompt policymakers to not only reflect but also change course to meet vital energy needs
OPEC+’s extra barrels mostly made of paper
Robust demand and a limited supply of additional physical barrels from key OPEC+ producers has kept the oil market in a healthy price range
Nigeria bullish about oil recovery
Efforts to restructure and boost investment appear to be working, but doubts remain about the plan to almost double crude production by 2030
Bakken oil output may hold its ground
While oil prices will determine the trajectory of the key US shale patch, regulation and technological shifts are also likely to shape direction longer term
IEA and OPEC energy assumptions on fragile ground
Geopolitical uncertainty casts a pall over expectations around demand, supply, investment and spare capacity
US, Russia and China circle the Arctic
The strategic importance of vast untapped oil and gas reserves and key shipping routes has come in from the cold
Canada Keystone XL Venezuela Nigeria Libya Saudi Arabia Opec Iraq US
Derek Brower
27 February 2018
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Energy risk in all shapes, all sizes

Geopolitics may be bullish or bearish. But it will almost certainly bring volatility to the oil market

The beverage options in Calgary restaurants just narrowed. On 6 February, Alberta's premier Rachel Notley announced that her province was now banning imports of wine from British Columbia (BC). It is the first shot in a budding trade war between the neighbouring provinces. BC is blocking the expansion of a pipeline from the oil sands to the Pacific Coast. Notley now says that unless BC lifts its objections, Alberta might stop trading electricity across the border. For Alberta, the BC foot-dragging over Kinder Morgan's C$7.4bn ($5.8bn) plan to almost treble capacity of the Trans Mountain pipeline, to 890,000 barrels a day, is serious stuff. Evacuation capacity from the oil sands will be insuf

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24 July 2025
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