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India’s retreat from Russian oil could cause global trade flow shockwaves
US secondary sanctions are forcing a rapid reassessment of crude buying patterns in Asia, and the implications could reshape pricing, freight and supply balances worldwide. With India holding the key to two-thirds of Russian seaborne exports, the stakes could not be higher
Trump’s energy report card
The administration is pushing for deregulation and streamlined permitting for natural gas, while tightening requirements and stripping away subsidies from renewables
Difficult times for Germany’s downstream
Europe’s refining sector is desperately trying to adapt to a shifting global energy landscape and nowhere is this more apparent than in its largest economy
Trump’s Russia threat rings hollow
The reaction to proposed sanctions on Russian oil buyers has been muted, suggesting trader fatigue with Trump’s frequent bold and erratic threats
US oil sector faces complicated path
Trump energy policies and changing consumer trends to upend oil supply and demand
California refiners dreaming of heyday
US downstream sector in key state feels the pain of high costs, an environmental squeeze and the effects of broader market trends
Mars attacks US oil industry
Crude quality issues are an often understated risk to energy security, highlighted by problems at a key US refinery
Bakken oil output may hold its ground
While oil prices will determine the trajectory of the key US shale patch, regulation and technological shifts are also likely to shape direction longer term
Letter from the Middle East: Iran-Israel war risks dire straits
A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would have reverberations that would sound around the world
US, Russia and China circle the Arctic
The strategic importance of vast untapped oil and gas reserves and key shipping routes has come in from the cold
US Iran Donald Trump Oil markets
Derek Brower
9 January 2018
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Trump and Iran might lift oil prices, for now

Don't bet against the president's imminent Iran decision lifting oil prices. But don't expect the rally to last either

Predicting what a stable genius will do next is no easy thing. But now the oil market must wait again on Donald Trump, who will decide this week what to do about US participation in the Iran nuclear deal. The timing of his decision, due on 12 January, whether to decertify the agreement again is awkward—for Trump, Iran and the oil market. Trump's fighting his own local fires, including the fallout from Michael Wolff's fly-on-the-wall book, the Russia investigation and North Korea. Protestors in Iran remain on the streets, despite the Revolutionary Guard's claim to have suppressed the unrest. And the oil market, after a lengthy rally, has paused for breath. Brent was trading in London at almos

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Letter from Azerbaijan: Net-zero strategy to reshape South Caucasus
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ExxonMobil’s MOU with SOCAR, unveiled in Washington alongside the peace agreement with Armenia, highlights how the Karabakh net-zero zone is part of a wider strategic realignment
Oil outlook: Who and what to believe?
19 August 2025
OPEC and the IEA have very different views on where the oil market is headed, leaving analysts wondering which way to jump
India’s retreat from Russian oil could cause global trade flow shockwaves
15 August 2025
US secondary sanctions are forcing a rapid reassessment of crude buying patterns in Asia, and the implications could reshape pricing, freight and supply balances worldwide. With India holding the key to two-thirds of Russian seaborne exports, the stakes could not be higher
Trump’s energy report card
11 August 2025
The administration is pushing for deregulation and streamlined permitting for natural gas, while tightening requirements and stripping away subsidies from renewables

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