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The looming risks of a US-Venezuela war
The Caribbean country’s role in the global oil market is significantly diminished, but disruptions caused by outright conflict would still have implications for US Gulf Coast refineries
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Tax policy will shape Russia’s oil future
The consensus among market observers is that the country’s oil output will fall in the long term. Yet few recognise how Moscow’s shifting tax regime is designed to keep the next barrel commercially viable
Hungary defends Russian energy use
Claims the country lacks alternatives to Russian oil and gas may be exaggerated, although higher costs and reduced security of supply are legitimate concerns.
US sees energy dominance as strategic necessity
The Trump administration is using energy exports to strengthen political and economic ties with allies and weaken adversaries, while simultaneously exploiting those ties to open up further markets for US energy
Letter from the US: Washington’s threat to oil exporters
With Trump poised to secure a majority on the Federal Reserve Board, slashed interest rates will weaken the dollar and cause economic pain for producers
Trump’s energy report card
The administration is pushing for deregulation and streamlined permitting for natural gas, while tightening requirements and stripping away subsidies from renewables
Latest EU sanctions largely toothless
Without US backing, the EU’s newest sanctions package against Russia—though not painless—is unlikely to have a significant impact on the country’s oil and gas revenues or its broader economy
Trump’s Russia threat rings hollow
The reaction to proposed sanctions on Russian oil buyers has been muted, suggesting trader fatigue with Trump’s frequent bold and erratic threats
US oil sector faces complicated path
Trump energy policies and changing consumer trends to upend oil supply and demand
Venezuela US PDV Russia China
Justin Jacobs
27 March 2018
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Venezuelan oil's volatile year

A steep production decline from the country is already priced in, but things could get even worse

Venezuela is the single biggest geopolitical risk for oil markets in 2018. The economy continues to crumble, dragging the oil industry down with it, and a contentious election scheduled for 22 April promises to fuel more political strife in an already bitterly divided country. As the crisis has worsened, Venezuela has moved up the global agenda. The US has taken the lead, ratcheting up the pressure on Nicolás Maduro's government. Economic sanctions on Venezuela have effectively cut the country off from international capital markets, making it nearly impossible for the cash-strapped government to raise new funds. At the same time, personal sanctions on senior officials in Maduro's government

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