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Major upstream decline threatens Mexico’s energy security
Dire crude projections and heavy debt burden are weighing heavily on NOC Pemex
Pemex scrambles to plug the gap
The NOC’s dire financial situation and maturing fields have left the authorities with little choice but to reduce crude expectations
Hydrocarbon Processing Refining Databook 2025: Americas
The US and Canada are boosting capacity builds for renewable diesel and biofuels, while Central and South American countries are investing heavily to upgrade and expand their domestic refining sectors
Latin America’s evolving crude outlook
New supply from Argentina, Brazil and Guyana is rich in middle distillates, but optimism in terms of volume growth remains tempered by regulatory and technical risks as well as price volatility
Mexico’s energy ambitions weigh heavily on Pemex
The government’s resource nationalism is aggravating the NOC’s debt position and could yet worsen if also tasked with the decarbonisation shift
Mexico’s new president faces fiscal crunch
While greater focus on decarbonisation is likely, economic pressures and huge debt burden could squeeze energy policy ambitions
Mexico’s election could evolve oil nationalism
Upcoming elections are likely to deliver a win for the party of president Andres Lopez Obrador, but analysts differ over to what degree his successor will stick to his energy policies
Mexico’s fledgling LNG export industry faces growth challenges
While developers are making progress, infrastructure, regulatory and political uncertainties risk stunting opportunities
Optimism grows around Mexican upstream
Things are looking up for exploration and production in Mexico, with new finds and developments set to boost output in coming years
Global LNG analysis report 2023 – Part 4
The fourth and final part of this deep-dive analysis looks at LNG projects planned or underway across the Americas
Mexican president Andres Lopez Obrador
Opinion
Mexico Pemex
Conal Quinn
12 May 2022
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Letter from Mexico: Amlo’s vanity project gets ever more expensive

Costs continue to spiral at a downstream development the utility of which was always questionable

The Olmeca refinery under construction at the port of Dos Bocas in Mexican president Andres Lopez Obrador’s home state of Tabasco is central to his ambitions to both assure energy sovereignty and, generally, restore state oil firm Pemex to what the leftist sees as its former glory. The flagship project will add 340,000bl/d to the nation’s current processing capacity of 1.6mn bl/d from Pemex’s other six refineries. But it is described by one local journalist as “the most opaque construction project” in Mexican history. And industry analysts and the general public alike have been frequently left in the dark regarding its progress and cost. The president insists the refinery will be ready in ti

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