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India’s retreat from Russian oil could cause global trade flow shockwaves
US secondary sanctions are forcing a rapid reassessment of crude buying patterns in Asia, and the implications could reshape pricing, freight and supply balances worldwide. With India holding the key to two-thirds of Russian seaborne exports, the stakes could not be higher
Latest EU sanctions largely toothless
Without US backing, the EU’s newest sanctions package against Russia—though not painless—is unlikely to have a significant impact on the country’s oil and gas revenues or its broader economy
BP’s long stay in Russia
After failed attempts to find a buyer for its stake in Russia’s largest oil producer, BP may be able to avoid the harsh treatment meted out to ExxonMobil and Shell when they exited—and could even restart operations if geopolitical conditions improve
Arbitration with Gazprom: How to collect
A number of companies have filed arbitration claims against Gazprom over non-deliveries of contracted gas or other matters—and won. The next step is to collect the award, but this is no easy task
Power of Siberia 2: Deal or no deal?
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns around over-dependence on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely a contract will be finalised this year
China creates two-tier oil dynamic
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
Trump’s Russia threat rings hollow
The reaction to proposed sanctions on Russian oil buyers has been muted, suggesting trader fatigue with Trump’s frequent bold and erratic threats
Waiting for Arctic LNG 2
Without sanctions relief, there is little reason to believe the latest potential attempt at exports from the Russian liquefaction project will be more successful than the one last summer
Nigeria bullish about oil recovery
Efforts to restructure and boost investment appear to be working, but doubts remain about the plan to almost double crude production by 2030
China’s oil output to scale new heights
New discoveries and stabilisation of legacy fields’ output have helped China reverse the decline and be a top-five producer in recent years
The departure of Western firms from Russia leaves space for China
Russia China IOCs
Vladimir Kovalev
21 April 2022
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Russia hopes China can fill IOC gap

Moscow is attempting to deepen its close cooperation with Asian countries—in particular China—to minimise the impact of sanctions on its oil and gas sector

Majors such as ExxonMobil and BP abandoned their partnerships with Russia shortly after the Kremlin went to war in Ukraine. Following their departure, Moscow is looking to China as a potential replacement—at least partially—for the oil and gas sector technologies and investment that would previously have come from the West. Chinese NOCs may be the most likely partners for a number of significant projects that have lost Western investors, including the 25pc stake in state-controlled oil firm Rosneft abandoned by BP earlier this year, ExxonMobil’s former share in the Sakhalin-1 project and Norwegian state-controlled Equinor’s various joint venture stakes. Additionally, Austria’s OMV halted neg

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19 August 2025
OPEC and the IEA have very different views on where the oil market is headed, leaving analysts wondering which way to jump
India’s retreat from Russian oil could cause global trade flow shockwaves
15 August 2025
US secondary sanctions are forcing a rapid reassessment of crude buying patterns in Asia, and the implications could reshape pricing, freight and supply balances worldwide. With India holding the key to two-thirds of Russian seaborne exports, the stakes could not be higher
Trump’s energy report card
11 August 2025
The administration is pushing for deregulation and streamlined permitting for natural gas, while tightening requirements and stripping away subsidies from renewables

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