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Power of Siberia 2: Deal or no deal?
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns around over-dependence on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely a contract will be finalised this year
China creates two-tier oil dynamic
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
Major upstream decline threatens Mexico’s energy security
Dire crude projections and heavy debt burden are weighing heavily on NOC Pemex
China’s oil output to scale new heights
New discoveries and stabilisation of legacy fields’ output have helped China reverse the decline and be a top-five producer in recent years
Old hands dominate Algeria’s upstream auction
The country’s latest licensing round attracted bids from IOCs and NOCs in a better showing than its last outreach to bidders
ADNOC eyes cross-border opportunities
The Emirati company is ramping up its overseas expansion programme, taking it into new geographic areas that challenge long-held assumptions about Gulf NOCs
India to help Asia spearhead global refining
Shifting demand patterns leaves most populous nation primed to become downstream leader as China and the West retreat
US, Russia and China circle the Arctic
The strategic importance of vast untapped oil and gas reserves and key shipping routes has come in from the cold
Cheap gas key to unlocking new markets
Weaning poorer regions off coal means gas needs to be abundant and competitive longer term
Do not underplay China’s long-term gas growth narrative
A subdued market amid global trade tensions is just an aberration in gas’ upward trajectory
A previous meeting between Chinese and Mozambican premiers Xi Jinping and Filipe Nyusi
China NOCs
Shi Weijun
Shanghai
12 July 2024
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China’s NOCs plan renewed African growth

The current wave of investment comes after Africa’s importance as an energy supplier to China has declined in recent years

China’s NOCs are continuing to expand their upstream footprint in Africa—underscored by CNOOC’s recent bagging of contracts to explore blocks offshore Mozambique—as Beijing looks to help shore up African production to lock in future supplies. African hydrocarbons have remained of key interest to PetroChina, Sinopec and CNOOC since they were tipped four years ago to become collectively the fourth-biggest upstream investor in Africa over 2019–23, behind BP, Shell and Eni. Africa stood to capture nearly 30% of overseas upstream capex by the NOCs, amounting to c.$15b, consultancy GlobalData predicted in mid-2019. It is unclear if the NOCs have lived up to the billing, but they have not shied awa

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