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IEA and OPEC energy assumptions on fragile ground
Geopolitical uncertainty casts a pall over expectations around demand, supply, investment and spare capacity
Israel-Iran war imperils Egypt’s energy supply
Egypt’s government was already preparing for potential energy shortages this summer, and the loss of Israeli gas supply has made things worse
The oil risk premium fable
Israel’s attack on Iran caught oil firms with low inventories due to their efforts to protect themselves from falling prices, creating a perfect storm
Saudi Arabia and Russia pull OPEC+ in different directions
The two oil heavyweights’ diverging fiscal considerations are straining unity within the group
Iraq seeks alternatives to Iranian gas
The country is facing energy shortfalls this summer amid reduced Iranian gas imports and difficulties leasing an FSRU
OPEC+ still showing restraint
Petroleum Economist analysis shows OPEC bringing back some barrels in May, but fewer than expected, while OPEC+ continues to see output fall
Is a Russia-Iran gas deal on the horizon?
Russia has ample spare gas, and Iran needs it, but sanctions and pricing pose steep hurdles.
US independents stick to the script
Shale producers are cautiously eyeing Opec+ before lifting capex while substantially trimming hedging
Giant oil and gas discoveries may prove irrelevant
The energy transition is increasing the risk of huge discoveries becoming stranded indefinitely
Brent heads for $82/bl as Opec+ holds steady
The cartel dashes expectations it might boost production ahead of schedule
Opec Saudi Arabia Iran Venezuela Donald Trump Oil markets
12 December 2018
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The rise and fall of oil prices in 2018

Prices rose, Trump hollered, supply signals were mixed, Iran was hit by sanctions and then prices fell back

2018 proved to be another year of mixed fortunes for the oil and gas industry, with prices firming up to levels that were more common pre-2014, before dipping down in November as fears of global oversupply, amid retrenchment in global economic growth, began to kick in. Nonetheless, for most of the year, the narrative was one of steadily rising prices—sufficient for the ever-voluble US President Donald Trump to make repeated calls for price restraint from Opec. With prices rising in June, Trump tweeted on 13 June that "oil prices are too high, Opec is at it again. Not good!" Whether good or not, Trump's moves may have had some short-term impacts. On 23 June, an Opec ministers' meeting in Vien

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