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Opec Saudi Arabia Donald Trump Iran
Derek Brower
Vienna
19 June 2018
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Trump’s spectre looms over tense Opec meeting

Russia and Saudi Arabia plan to raise supply. The move will please the US but make for a rocky summit this week

The Opec+ deal is all but done. A new version may be crafted here in Vienna over the next few days, but the cuts that began at the start of January 2017 and wiped out the global stock excess have run their course. Any new agreement will be designed to preserve a semblance of unity. But more oil is coming—that's been clear since Russia's Vladimir Putin said the oil-price rally had gone too far . Saudi Arabia has reluctantly accepted this. The only questions are how much Opec+ will add and when; whether it will be done officially or on the quiet; and whether it will be enough to compensate for mounting losses elsewhere, or to satisfy Donald Trump. His shadow will hang over the 22 June meeting

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