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Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
Tax policy will shape Russia’s oil future
The consensus among market observers is that the country’s oil output will fall in the long term. Yet few recognise how Moscow’s shifting tax regime is designed to keep the next barrel commercially viable
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
The duality of US shale
A sector beset by pessimism and pain amid price weakness contrasts with data signalling production strength and resilience
Lukoil loses its growth prospects
The Russian firm made a significant attempt to expand overseas over the past two decades but is now trying to divest its global operations
OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
Explainer: How the EU will wean itself off Russian gas
Questions remain about how the phase-out will be implemented and enforced in practice
Arctic LNG comes in from the cold
Beijing now appears prepared to accept discounted Russian LNG, even at the cost of heightened sanctions risk
Higher oil prices could trigger a global economic recession
Oil markets Sanctions Russia US Europe Opec
Peter Ramsay
9 March 2022
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Costing a Russian oil supply gap

Analysts see potential for $200/bl+ if it becomes ever more difficult in practice for Western nations to buy crude from Russia

US president Joe Biden may be prepared for Europe not to join his embargo on importing Russian oil. But Shell’s decision to commit to buying no more Russian spot oil and to phase it out of its supply chains entirely over the coming weeks serves as a reminder that—even if countries are not yet officially banning imports from Russia—buying, paying for and securing finance to trade in the country’s oil is already proving challenging in many jurisdictions. When following the US’ lead on Tuesday, the UK government estimated that 70pc of Russian oil was struggling to find a buyer. So it is no surprise that analysts are scrambling to try to put a price on the impact of replumbing the global crude s

Also in this section
Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Opinion
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
Opinion
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
Libya’s upstream caught between hope and caution
1 December 2025
The North African producer’s first bidding round in almost two decades is an important milestone but the recent extension suggests a degree of trepidation

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