China’s recovering oil demand may not be all it seems
Rise in imports may be more to do with stockpiling ahead of summer than actual increased consumption
China’s crude imports are showing signs of strength for March and April following weakness in January and February. But there is much debate over whether recent Chinese buying represents a genuine turnaround for end-user demand in the world’s biggest oil market and can be sustained in the second half of this year. Two key questions are the level of stockpiling and the limits to Russian crude purchases—and the uncertainty is likely to linger as demand continues its uneven revival. Vessel-tracking data indicates Chinese crude imports for March are set to increase by 250,000bl/d from February, to c.10.7mn bl/d, according to local consultancy JLC. This would mark a recovery from soft imports of

Also in this section
29 July 2025
The EU’s Russia sanctions could have far-reaching implications for India’s Vadinar-based refinery
29 July 2025
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns over over-dependency on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely that a contract will be finalised this year.
29 July 2025
EU industry and politicians are pushing back against the bloc’s green agenda. Meanwhile, Brussels’ transatlantic trade deal with Washington could consolidate US energy dominance.
25 July 2025
KRG, Iraq’s central government and Turkey are all working to get exports flowing from the key port, but complications remain