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Middle East chaos creates new oil and gas trends
A complex and sometimes contradictory web of factors that include unpredictable oil prices, the globalisation of LNG markets, the expansion of Middle Eastern sovereign capital and the growth of datacentre demand will shape the energy landscape beyond 2026
The key arteries of the energy world
The Strait of Hormuz crisis highlights how key waterways can become global chokepoints
Through the oil looking glass
The extent of the US-Israel war with Iran means there will be no going back to the previous market equilibrium no matter how the conflict ends
Do not fear runaway Henry Hub prices
Rising LNG exports and AI-driven power demand have raised concerns that US gas prices could climb sharply, but analysts say abundant shale supply and continued productivity gains should keep Henry Hub within a range that preserves the competitiveness of US LNG
Will policymakers panic before the oil market?
Risks of shortages in oil products may cause world leaders to panic and make mistakes instead of letting the market do what it does best
India taking pole position on oil demand growth
The country’s rapidly expanding economy is boosting its consumption of oil as demand for the fuel slows elsewhere in the world
Letter from London: The oil market should panic tomorrow
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
The diesel crisis
By shutting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has cut exports of distillate-rich Middle Eastern crude, jet fuel and diesel, and is holding the energy market hostage
OPEC+ boosted production before crisis
Petroleum Economist analysis sees increases in output from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Kazakhstan among others before region’s murky descent
Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
Both have much to lose if energy infrastructure is damaged
Saudi Arabia Iran Markets
Victor Kotsev
24 March 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Saudi-Iran deal first step to boosting regional oil security prospects

But there is less optimism on additional Iranian exports, and many near-term risks remain

The Chinese-brokered deal to restore relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran may not necessarily prevent regional conflict or unlock additional Iran crude, but analysts believe it improves the long-term security of Saudi oil installations. The move will certainly be remembered as Beijing’s first big breakthrough on the Middle Eastern diplomatic scene. But is also an attempt to safeguard its oil purchases, given that it buys a lot of crude from both Saudi Arabia and Iran—even if much of the volume from the latter is not included in official statistics due to sanctions relating to Tehran’s alleged nuclear weapons programme. As a result, much of Iran’s crude trade takes place on the grey market

Also in this section
Middle East chaos creates new oil and gas trends
23 March 2026
A complex and sometimes contradictory web of factors that include unpredictable oil prices, the globalisation of LNG markets, the expansion of Middle Eastern sovereign capital and the growth of datacentre demand will shape the energy landscape beyond 2026
The key arteries of the energy world
23 March 2026
The Strait of Hormuz crisis highlights how key waterways can become global chokepoints
A bigger and longer crisis
20 March 2026
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
20 March 2026
The US may be systemically stripping Russia of key geopolitical allies, but Moscow can reap rewards from the Hormuz crisis, both in the short and long term

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