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A third distillate disruption
Diesel market disruptions have propelled crude prices above $100/bl twice in this century, and now oil teeters on the brink of another crude quality crisis
China creates two-tier oil dynamic
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
Letter from Austria: OPEC delivers wake-up call
A brutally honest picture about the potential role of oil and gas in 2050 should prompt policymakers to not only reflect but also change course to meet vital energy needs
OPEC+’s extra barrels mostly made of paper
Robust demand and a limited supply of additional physical barrels from key OPEC+ producers has kept the oil market in a healthy price range
Gas pricing finds a new norm
Gas-on-gas competition pricing has grown its share of consumption significantly over the past two decades, primarily at the expense of oil-price-escalation pricing, according to the IGU
Oil demand ramps up air miles
Jet fuel will play crucial role in oil consumption growth even with efficiency gains and environmental curbs, with geopolitical risks highlighting importance of plentiful stocks
Letter from the Middle East: Iran-Israel war risks dire straits
A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would have reverberations that would sound around the world
IEA and OPEC energy assumptions on fragile ground
Geopolitical uncertainty casts a pall over expectations around demand, supply, investment and spare capacity
The oil risk premium fable
Israel’s attack on Iran caught oil firms with low inventories due to their efforts to protect themselves from falling prices, creating a perfect storm
Saudi Arabia and Russia pull OPEC+ in different directions
The two oil heavyweights’ diverging fiscal considerations are straining unity within the group
Oil tanker anchored in the Hudson River
Markets
Simon Ferrie
26 May 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Transatlantic gasoline trade remains muted

Demand, production growth and price outlooks will be limited as market continues to adjust following years of disruption

Global commodity markets are still adjusting to the post-pandemic and post-Ukraine invasion world, and some familiar seasonal trends remain disrupted. In previous years, the US would typically see a noticeable increase in gasoline demand for the summer driving season, and with it an upturn in gasoline imports, particularly transatlantic shipments from Europe in the second quarter. This pattern looks set to return, although US demand may remain relatively muted. US gasoline demand will rise “by about 1.4pc year-on-year, to an average of 9.1mn bl/d in the second and third quarters compared to last year”, when demand averaged just short of 9mn bl/d, predicts Ines Goncalves, senior oil analyst f

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Latest EU sanctions largely toothless
7 August 2025
Without US backing, the EU’s newest sanctions package against Russia—though not painless—is unlikely to have a significant impact on the country’s oil and gas revenues or its broader economy
A third distillate disruption
6 August 2025
Diesel market disruptions have propelled crude prices above $100/bl twice in this century, and now oil teeters on the brink of another crude quality crisis
BP’s long stay in Russia
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Arbitration with Gazprom: How to collect
1 August 2025
A number of companies have filed arbitration claims against Gazprom over non-deliveries of contracted gas or other matters—and won. The next step is to collect the award, but this is no easy task

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