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Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The complex crude glut picture
The swelling crude supply story involves the key plot twists of reluctant buyers, limited oil stocks and refiners playing the long game
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The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
The duality of US shale
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OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
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Accelerating MENA’s gas transformation
Gas has become a pillar of MENA economies and a catalyst for development strategies, fostering cooperation and creating new paths for economic diversification. Continued progress will require substantial investment and adapted regulations
Nigeria charts ‘just transition’ course for NOCs
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Oil’s fragile AI trillions
Prices risk hitting $10/bl should the tech bubble burst amid worrying economic fallout
Markets US Saudi Arabia
Philip K. Verleger
21 August 2023
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US SPR squeezes Saudi economy

Action by consuming governments has shown they can significantly affect oil prices and put a spoke in OPEC’s wheels

Middle Eastern and Central Asian economic growth is projected to decline to 2.5% in 2023 from 5.4% in 2022, according to the IMF, with a downward revision of 0.4 percentage points compared with the previous forecast being attributable mainly to a steeper-than-expected slowdown in Saudi Arabia. Growth in the Kingdom is expected to fall from 8.7% in 2022 to 1.9% in 2023, a downward revision of 1.2 percentage points. The IMF attributed the slow Saudi growth to an agreement among OPEC+ members to cut output in April this year. Data published about the same time showed Saudi Arabia’s income from oil sales dropped in May 2023 to the lowest level since 2022 (see Fig.1). The IMF economists failed to

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