Letter from the US: Is oil barreling down the gas highway?
The oil markets may be poised to experience a price slump mirroring the history of the gas sector
Natural gas is ‘dirt cheap’ in the US. At the time of writing, Henry Hub spot prices were around $2.3–2.4/m Btu, which is the oil equivalent of around $15–18/bl. In fact, gas prices have been low for years (see Fig.1). The rock-bottom prices have not prevented firms from drilling, however. The efficiencies in gas production and the presence of more lucrative co-products (namely oil) have prompted firms to maintain their activities. In late September, several executives asserted that gas production would rise substantially if the Biden administration removed its restrictions. The gas price contrasts markedly with that of oil, which is hovering around $70/bl. Company executives, analysts and o

Also in this section
11 August 2025
The administration is pushing for deregulation and streamline permitting for natural gas, while tightening requirements and stripping away subsidies from renewables
8 August 2025
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
7 August 2025
The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
7 August 2025
Without US backing, the EU’s newest sanctions package against Russia—though not painless—is unlikely to have a significant impact on the country’s oil and gas revenues or its broader economy