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Oil’s tanker transformation
The global maritime oil transport sector enters 2026 facing a rare convergence of crude oversupply, record newbuild deliveries and the potential easing of several geopolitical disruptions that have shaped trade flows since 2022
Letter from the US: The curse of strong energy exports
Rebuilding industry, energy dominance and lower energy costs are key goals that remain at odds in 2026
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OPEC+ remains on track as output falls, with only Gabon failing to hit its output targets in December, although Kazakhstan’s compliance was involuntary
Outlook 2026: Time for a new international energy order
With the arrival of a multipolar world and 4b energy-poor people, the existing energy order is no longer fit for purpose
Outlook 2026: Crude on crude – How shale oil flipped the script on the global barrel
Heavy, sour crude and shale oil will battle for market relevance, but it may not be the sweetest barrels that taste victory
Outlook 2026: LNG markets and the overhang
A third wave of LNG supply is coming, and with it a likely oversupply of the fuel by 2028
Outlook 2026: The next oil shock – From peak demand mirage to structural tightness
Oil prices look set to come under pressure next year as oversupply hits, but longer-term the risk is underinvestment as demand continues to grow past 2030
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Markets
Paul Horsnell
25 January 2024
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Outlook 2024: The future is not what it used to be

The appetite for long-term oil investment remains variable

The issue of whether contemporary long-term oil investment appetite is at an optimal level is not a new one, indeed it has been a recurrent feature of both equity and commodity market analysis and discussions since the 1986 oil price crisis. The debate often splits into two broad camps: one view posits that markets are self-correcting and that the amplitude of oil market cycles is usually unproblematic; the other sees corrections as slow with informational failures creating a downward bias in investment leading to overly amplified and damaging cycles. It is often difficult to separate views about investment appetite from those about prices and long-term demand. For example, the view that the

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Opinion
15 January 2026
Rebuilding industry, energy dominance and lower energy costs are key goals that remain at odds in 2026

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