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The shadow fleet is the real chokepoint in 2026
The assumption that oil markets will re-route and work around sanctions is being tested, and it is the physical infrastructure that is acting as the constraint
China’s new oil position
OPEC, upstream investors and refiners all face strategic shifts now the Asian behemoth is no longer the main engine of global oil demand growth
The AI industry’s coming dominance of oil and gas
Tech giants rather than oil majors could soon upend hydrocarbon markets, starting with North America
HPI Market Data Book 2026: Global construction – Americas
Capex is concentrated in gas processing and LNG in the US, while in Canada the reverse is true
Canadian producers positioned to ride out the downcycle
The country’s upstream players have demonstrated resilience to low oil prices and are well positioned to prosper despite a volatile market
A dual-coast LNG strategy
Sempra Infrastructure’s vice president for marketing and commercial development, Carlos de la Vega, outlines progress across the company’s US Gulf Coast and Mexico Pacific Coast LNG portfolio, including construction at Port Arthur LNG, continued strong performance at Cameron LNG and development of ECA LNG
Letter from Iran: Testing times for Tehran-Beijing crude dynamics
Growing pressure from the Trump administration continues to threaten a resilient China-Iran oil nexus
OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
OPEC+ set to strengthen its hand
The alliance looks to bolster market management credibility by bringing greater clarity and unity to output cuts and producer capacity later in 2026
Oil in 2026: Five factors to watch
Petroleum Economist takes a look at the critical developments that look set to govern the course of the market for this year
US Markets
Neil Atkinson
31 January 2025
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Oil producers under pressure in 2025

Trump may get his wish for cheaper oil, but prices will more likely be driven by fundamentals than policies

Nobody could accuse President Trump of being dull. His campaign slogan “drill, baby, drill” is being repeated even after the January inauguration. Regulations are being relaxed to allow oil and gas companies to invest in expanding production. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve will, apparently, be re-filled to capacity—an increase of nearly 300m bl from today’s level. Tariffs are promised against Canada, China, Mexico and the EU, among others, to force them to either export less to the US or import more from the US. Sanctions against Iran, Russia and Venezuela might be toughened in the coming months. And this could be just the start. Ultimately, for all the sound and fury of Trump’s initiatives

Also in this section
New Zealand embraces LNG
27 February 2026
LNG would serve as a backup supply source as domestic gas declines and the country’s energy system comes under stress during periods of low hydropower output and high energy demand
The shadow fleet is the real chokepoint in 2026
27 February 2026
The assumption that oil markets will re-route and work around sanctions is being tested, and it is the physical infrastructure that is acting as the constraint
Energy week in Riyadh to convene energy leaders across policy, markets and technology
27 February 2026
The 25th WPC Energy Congress to take place in tandem as part of a coordinated week of high-level ministerial, institutional and industry engagements
Upstream looks to deepwater rescue
27 February 2026
The deepwater sector must be brave by fast-tracking projects and making progress to seize huge offshore opportunities and not become bogged down by capacity constraints and consolidation

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