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China’s new oil position
OPEC, upstream investors and refiners all face strategic shifts now the Asian behemoth is no longer the main engine of global oil demand growth
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Venezuela upends global heavy crude market
The ripple effects of US refiners switching to Venezuela grades will be felt from Canada to China and everywhere in between
Venezuela mismanaged its oil, and US shale benefitted
Chavez’s socialist reforms boosted state control but pushed knowledge and capital out of the sector, opening the way for the US shale revolution
Venezuela’s true oil potential
The Latin American producer’s crude prospects rely on a multi-pronged approach where even the relatively easy wins will take considerable time, effort and cost
Outlook 2026: South America’s oil growth story masks hidden risks
Brazil, Guyana and Argentina to lead additional crude supply increases, but the rest of the region remains patchy
The looming risks of a US-Venezuela war
The Caribbean country’s role in the global oil market is significantly diminished, but disruptions caused by outright conflict would still have implications for US Gulf Coast refineries
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
China Venezuela Ecuador Brazil
Selwyn Parker
5 April 2017
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China's oil loans run into trouble

China extended much credit to secure oil supplies. Now it needs borrowers to start repaying

China's policy banks are caught in a cleft stick as some of their massive loans to boost offshore oil flows run into trouble because of political and economic problems in recipient countries. In the wake of the collapse in crude prices, lenders such as China Development Bank (CDB) and Exim-Bank are pouring good money after bad. In its decade-long efforts to mitigate domestic disruptions in the supply of crude with higher flows from abroad, Beijing has pursued two different investment techniques. In one, the deep-pocketed policy banks have swapped infrastructure-targeted debt in exchange for exports of crude back to China, almost exclusively by those nations' state-owned producers. In the oth

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