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Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
Tax policy will shape Russia’s oil future
The consensus among market observers is that the country’s oil output will fall in the long term. Yet few recognise how Moscow’s shifting tax regime is designed to keep the next barrel commercially viable
The duality of US shale
A sector beset by pessimism and pain amid price weakness contrasts with data signalling production strength and resilience
Gas should fare better than oil under Canada’s new regime
The new federal government appears far more supportive of oil and gas than former prime minister Justin Trudeau’s climate-focused administration, but the prospects look better for the latter hydrocarbon
Letter from Europe: Western retreat raises doubts over climate leadership
After years of pursuing ideologically driven climate leadership, Western powers are now stepping back under mounting political pressure and rising populist opposition—prompting concern essential climate action could be sidelined
An all-energy stance
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From green goals to ground realities
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Fear and loathing in US LNG buildout
Overall gas optimism is blighted by concerns over lingering regulatory and infrastructure hurdles that could hamper expansion of US LNG exports, weaken security and stifle AI ambitions
Opinion
Politics Transport fuel US
Philip K. Verleger
Denver
15 January 2025
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Letter from the US: Trump and $1 gasoline

The oil and gas industry will replace its capital discipline with Trump compliance and consumers will benefit from lower gasoline prices

The incoming Trump administration wants low gasoline prices. The data makes clear that the high fuel prices of 2023 and early 2024 contributed to the president-elect’s victory, and a return of high prices in 2025 and 2026 could lead to significant Democratic gains in the midterm elections. Trump will try to prevent this by granting the oil industry’s wishes for less regulation and more leasing and then demanding large output increases to hold down prices. The 3:3:3:1 Plan The incoming president’s nominee for secretary of the treasury, Scott Bessent, has announced his ‘3:3:3 plan’. This entails increasing growth to 3%, cutting the budget deficit to 3% of GDP and raising US energy production b

Also in this section
Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Opinion
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
Opinion
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
Libya’s upstream caught between hope and caution
1 December 2025
The North African producer’s first bidding round in almost two decades is an important milestone but the recent extension suggests a degree of trepidation

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